While investors earn so little? Look at the chart below Not much of a return from the Shanghai Stock Exchange the past 10 years despite the rapid growth of the economy. What is the reason investors did not get much of a return? The simple explanation is the quote below. Companies in China do not […]
News & Insights
R.I.P 60/40…
For decades investors have relied on a simple and practical investment approach, the “60/40 portfolio,” to achieve long-term investment goals. The simplicity is elegant and historical results, powerful. In its most simplified form, the 60/40 portfolio is 60% large-cap U.S. stocks and 40% U.S. government bonds. The American Association of Individual Investors, or AAII, has […]
A Look into a Post-Covid World…
The pandemic struck at the core of one of the most basic of all human activities – personal interactions. Fortunately, the technology industry has launched a range of solutions aimed at helping fill the void. In healthcare, telemedicine has allowed providers to continue offering care to thousands of patients. Delivery apps are helping grocery stores […]
It’s the Coronavirus, Stupid…
So how does 2021 look? We will shamelessly borrow here from James Carville’s advice to Bill Clinton before the 1992 election, “It’s the Economy, stupid.” Today it’s all about COVID-19. Right now, we appear to be in Round Two of the outbreak. Things are getting worse, as they are also in Europe. The good news, […]
Is Globalization About to be Unwound?…
Back in the 1980s and 1990s, economic pundits raved about how new global supply chains and new companies were reshaping the Global Economy. Remember the BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India and China)? And the Four Tigers (South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore)? Everyone seemed to benefit from globalization. The West got cheaper goods, which increased […]
Why it’s Been so Hard…
The investing phenomenon of the year has been how much, how quickly and how eagerly investors have bid up almost all asset prices, even as we’ve remained in one of the worst economic and health crises in history. Stocks, junk bonds, gold, houses – there’s been tremendous appetite for all. Competition for the brightest ideas […]
It’s Not Just About Who Sits in the Oval Office…
The stock market has a knack for proving investors wrong and this year is no exception. How, many of our clients have asked, can the market continue to advance in the face of such extreme electoral turmoil? The thinking here is not entirely off-base. Presidents wield tremendous influence over the fiscal and regulatory policies that […]
Thin Reeds in the Fog…
Back in the 1970s a market commentator used the term ‘Thin Reeds’ to describe an event, not yet clearly visible, which could be a big surprise in the future. One surprise today could be the sustained decline in the dollar. The dollar has been weak this year (see chart below). Over the past six months […]
Navigating Medicare: As Tricky As Staying Healthy…
Rube Goldberg the American inventor and cartoonist was famous for drawing complicated gadgets performing simple tasks. Our health care system is very Rube Goldbergesque. Medicare has not gotten any simpler; in fact it has gotten a lot more complex since its founding in 1965. Medicare does not as of yet include every letter in the […]
Threats Are Everywhere…
It’s been said that everyone’s social security number probably has been compromised and is somewhere out there on the dark web. While we can’t know for sure, more than one security expert has said it’s a safe assumption that your identity data has been stolen at least once and more likely, multiple times. In other […]
History Does Not Repeat Itself. Man Always Does. – Voltaire…
A quick search on Amazon reveals no fewer than 416 entries on Investor Psychology. These titles cover the range – everything from how to day trade for a living to academically focused studies of investor behavior. Morgan Housel’s just released book, The Psychology of Money, is a welcome change from most books on the subject. […]
What’s Trending In China Today?…
Six decades ago during the ‘Four Pests’ Campaign in China all conversation would stop if you heard the buzzing of a fly. Only after the fly was dispatched would conversation continue. More recently if a Westerner wanted to bring conversation to a halt, all they needed to do was show off a tattoo. Traditional China […]
