Wealthy investors are most likely to prefer having older white males as their financial advisors. That’s according to a study done by Spectrem Group, a researcher focused on the investment industry. The study asked affluent investors to look at the photograph below and make a snap judgment about which of the eight financial advisors they’d […]
News & Insights
The 2-Minute Thought: Value Investing Isn’t Dead
Historically, value investing has outperformed. It hasn’t done so year in and year out – and it can certainly underperform over shorter periods of time. But over longer multi-year periods, it has outperformed. The evidence in its favor holds across markets, countries, and eras. Yet value investing has had a terrible period of underperformance the […]
Yeah! Let’s Hear It – We’re #81!
This is China’s world ranking in soccer (“football” to the rest of the world). China, you might remember, is the country that won the most gold medals, 51, at the Beijing Olympics. And yet in the world’s most popular sport, China is just barely ahead of Jordan and Equatorial Guinea and still trailing Zambia (#78) […]
We Are Sometimes Accused of Being Too Optimistic
Not this time. Let’s get right to what could cause the next crisis. China. Time Magazine pointed out in January that the problems of the Great Recession were never really fixed. Financial crises are most often caused by the rapid build up in debt. We saw this with our housing debt blow off in 2005-2008. […]
Can This Kingdom Modernize?
Up to now, Saudi Arabia has survived on oil. Half its GDP and 80% of its exports are from hydrocarbons. But Saudi Arabia is no Norway. Rather than build for the future, it has used oil wealth to fund cushy public sector jobs and generous cradle-to-grave welfare. That’s resulted in a frail private sector that […]
Companies That Earn Their Keep
As Value investors, we spend our time looking for good companies that sell at a discount to their fair market value. Defining a “good” company is the first step in this process. Factors such as a strong market position and capable management are hallmarks of a quality company but can be subjective and hard to […]
The 2-Minute Thought: Richard Yamarone Says These Five Indicators Point To Recession
Bloomberg economist Rich Yamarone says that a U.S. recession is coming. He won’t say when or how — just that too many things don’t look right. Speaking to the San Francisco Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) Society yesterday, Yamarone said we are in “Bizarro World.” That is a world where 13 countries have negative yields on […]
The 2-Minute Thought: The Golden Era of Investment Returns Is Over
Investors should set their sights lower, according to a recent study by McKinsey Global Institute called “Diminishing Returns.” The report says that 1985-2014 was a golden era for investment returns that is unlikely to be repeated and that investors will need to get used to a world of lower returns. That’s because the confluence of […]
The 2-Minute Thought: To Invest in Tobacco and “Sin Stocks” – Or Not?
Last week, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System, or “Calpers,” said it is considering investing in tobacco stocks again. If it decides to do so, it will be a noteworthy reversal. As the U.S.’ largest pension fund, Calpers’ actions carry weight. Calpers divested from tobacco in 2000, but not for the social responsibility reasons some […]
The 2-Minute Thought: The Stories We Tell About Manufacturing
There are all kinds of narratives about manufacturing. The old narrative from pre-financial crisis days was that globalization was taking manufacturing away from developed economies and giving it to emerging markets that had cheap labor. The 2000s were all about the hollowing out of textile mills in the U.S. while China became manufacturer to the […]
The 2-Minute Thought: Stocks We Chose Not To Buy
We choose not to buy many of the stocks we look at. In fact, we pass on most. Nevertheless, we learn a lot from looking at all of them – and then looking back at them again after we’ve said “no.” As value investors, we look for stocks selling for less than we think they’re […]
Everything Should Be as Simple as it Can Be, But No Simpler… (Attributed to Albert Einstein)
Pundits in January feared that the global economy had reached “stall speed.” Central Banks had done as much as they could to prop things up. At some point the world might turn in on itself for a major Recession. Things look a lot brighter today. But what about the long term outlook for the U.S.? […]